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Main Author: Ivchenko, Oleh
Format: Recurso digital
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Published: Zenodo 2026
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18972765
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author Ivchenko, Oleh
author_facet Ivchenko, Oleh
contents Empirical analysis of 87-country WSI dataset identifying two instability archetypes: economic-led collapse (Cuba, Venezuela, Argentina, Sri Lanka, Zimbabwe) where economic deterioration precedes political failure by 6-18 months, and conflict-led collapse (Ukraine, Myanmar, Libya) where economic damage follows as a consequence. The Israel anomaly demonstrates that economic resilience buffers political stability even under active military conflict. Implications for early warning system design.
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publishDate 2026
publisher Zenodo
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spellingShingle When the Economy Collapses, the Government Follows: Mapping the Dependency Between Economic and Political Instability
Ivchenko, Oleh
Empirical analysis of 87-country WSI dataset identifying two instability archetypes: economic-led collapse (Cuba, Venezuela, Argentina, Sri Lanka, Zimbabwe) where economic deterioration precedes political failure by 6-18 months, and conflict-led collapse (Ukraine, Myanmar, Libya) where economic damage follows as a consequence. The Israel anomaly demonstrates that economic resilience buffers political stability even under active military conflict. Implications for early warning system design.
title When the Economy Collapses, the Government Follows: Mapping the Dependency Between Economic and Political Instability
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18972765