Methodological Evaluation of Regional Monitoring Networks in Tanzania Using Time-Series Forecasting Models

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Autores principales: Sanga, Kamijja, Msuya, Habazaga, Simiyu, Mwiraria
Formato: Recurso digital
Lenguaje:inglés
Publicado: Zenodo 2013
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author Sanga, Kamijja
Msuya, Habazaga
Simiyu, Mwiraria
author_facet Sanga, Kamijja
Msuya, Habazaga
Simiyu, Mwiraria
contents <p>Regional monitoring networks play a crucial role in managing aquatic resources effectively. In Tanzania, these systems are essential for fisheries and environmental management. Time-series forecasting models were applied to historical data from multiple regions in Tanzania. Model parameters were estimated using maximum likelihood estimation, with robust standard errors accounting for uncertainty. A significant proportion of the variance (75%) in annual fish production was explained by model predictions, indicating a strong fit and reliability of the forecasting models. The time-series forecasting models demonstrated high accuracy and cost-effectiveness in monitoring regional aquatic resources. Recommendations for network expansion are based on these findings. Further research should focus on integrating additional environmental factors into the model to enhance predictive accuracy, particularly during periods of climate variability. Monitoring networks, Time-series forecasting, Cost-effectiveness, Regional management, Fisheries The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_18992577
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2013
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Methodological Evaluation of Regional Monitoring Networks in Tanzania Using Time-Series Forecasting Models
Sanga, Kamijja
Msuya, Habazaga
Simiyu, Mwiraria
African geography
Fisheries management
Time-series analysis
Econometrics
Monitoring networks
Cost-effectiveness
Data analytics
<p>Regional monitoring networks play a crucial role in managing aquatic resources effectively. In Tanzania, these systems are essential for fisheries and environmental management. Time-series forecasting models were applied to historical data from multiple regions in Tanzania. Model parameters were estimated using maximum likelihood estimation, with robust standard errors accounting for uncertainty. A significant proportion of the variance (75%) in annual fish production was explained by model predictions, indicating a strong fit and reliability of the forecasting models. The time-series forecasting models demonstrated high accuracy and cost-effectiveness in monitoring regional aquatic resources. Recommendations for network expansion are based on these findings. Further research should focus on integrating additional environmental factors into the model to enhance predictive accuracy, particularly during periods of climate variability. Monitoring networks, Time-series forecasting, Cost-effectiveness, Regional management, Fisheries The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.</p>
title Methodological Evaluation of Regional Monitoring Networks in Tanzania Using Time-Series Forecasting Models
topic African geography
Fisheries management
Time-series analysis
Econometrics
Monitoring networks
Cost-effectiveness
Data analytics
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18992577