Time-Series Forecasting Models in Public Health Surveillance Systems in Senegal: A Methodological Assessment

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Autores principales: Baker, Ronald, Roberts, Mr Brian, Morgan, Ms Charlotte
Formato: Recurso digital
Lenguaje:inglés
Publicado: Zenodo 2014
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author Baker, Ronald
Roberts, Mr Brian
Morgan, Ms Charlotte
author_facet Baker, Ronald
Roberts, Mr Brian
Morgan, Ms Charlotte
contents <p>This study addresses a current research gap in Medicine concerning Methodological evaluation of public health surveillance systems systems in Senegal: time-series forecasting model for measuring system reliability in Senegal. The objective is to formulate a rigorous model, state verifiable assumptions, and derive results with direct analytical or practical implications. A structured review of relevant literature was conducted, with thematic synthesis of key findings. The results establish bounded error under perturbation, a convergent estimation process under stated assumptions, and a stable link between the proposed metric and observed outcomes. The findings provide a reproducible analytical basis for subsequent theoretical and applied extensions. Stakeholders should prioritise inclusive, locally grounded strategies and improve data transparency. Methodological evaluation of public health surveillance systems systems in Senegal: time-series forecasting model for measuring system reliability, Senegal, Africa, Medicine, systematic review This work contributes a formal specification, transparent assumptions, and mathematically interpretable claims. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
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spellingShingle Time-Series Forecasting Models in Public Health Surveillance Systems in Senegal: A Methodological Assessment
Baker, Ronald
Roberts, Mr Brian
Morgan, Ms Charlotte
Sub-Saharan
public health
surveillance systems
time-series analysis
forecasting models
econometrics
reliability assessment
<p>This study addresses a current research gap in Medicine concerning Methodological evaluation of public health surveillance systems systems in Senegal: time-series forecasting model for measuring system reliability in Senegal. The objective is to formulate a rigorous model, state verifiable assumptions, and derive results with direct analytical or practical implications. A structured review of relevant literature was conducted, with thematic synthesis of key findings. The results establish bounded error under perturbation, a convergent estimation process under stated assumptions, and a stable link between the proposed metric and observed outcomes. The findings provide a reproducible analytical basis for subsequent theoretical and applied extensions. Stakeholders should prioritise inclusive, locally grounded strategies and improve data transparency. Methodological evaluation of public health surveillance systems systems in Senegal: time-series forecasting model for measuring system reliability, Senegal, Africa, Medicine, systematic review This work contributes a formal specification, transparent assumptions, and mathematically interpretable claims. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.</p>
title Time-Series Forecasting Models in Public Health Surveillance Systems in Senegal: A Methodological Assessment
topic Sub-Saharan
public health
surveillance systems
time-series analysis
forecasting models
econometrics
reliability assessment
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19040236