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Main Author: CALLEGARI, PR
Format: Recurso digital
Language:Portuguese
Published: Zenodo 2026
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19075175
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author CALLEGARI, PR
author_facet CALLEGARI, PR
contents <p>This essay examines underprotection in personal insurance markets not as an episodic failure or transitory deviation, but as a stable structural equilibrium. Its central thesis is that the so-called protection gap — the persistent mismatch between actual risk and effective coverage — emerges from the systemic interaction between individual cognitive limitations (operating under decision fog), institutionalized defensive supply, and the absence of incentives aligned with protective sufficiency. Drawing on Knight’s distinction between risk and uncertainty, the concepts of Nash equilibrium and adverse selection (Akerlof), and behavioral economics applied to intertemporal decision-making, the essay demonstrates that agents acting rationally within their respective contexts collectively produce a persistent outcome of undercoverage. Underprotection stabilizes because no agent in the chain holds a dominant incentive to shift the equilibrium toward sufficiency. The essay concludes that isolated interventions are insufficient as long as the systemic architecture of incentives remains unchanged. It introduces the concept of collective defensive equilibrium as an analytical category to explain the structural persistence of the protection gap.</p>
format Recurso digital
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publishDate 2026
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spellingShingle Lacuna de Proteção como Equilíbrio Estável : Como Mercados de Proteção Convergem para Estados de Subcobertura
CALLEGARI, PR
protection gap; underprotection; life insurance; risk and uncertainty; knightian uncertainty; nash equilibrium; adverse selection; behavioral economics; intertemporal choice; decision-making; insurance economics; collective defensive equilibrium
<p>This essay examines underprotection in personal insurance markets not as an episodic failure or transitory deviation, but as a stable structural equilibrium. Its central thesis is that the so-called protection gap — the persistent mismatch between actual risk and effective coverage — emerges from the systemic interaction between individual cognitive limitations (operating under decision fog), institutionalized defensive supply, and the absence of incentives aligned with protective sufficiency. Drawing on Knight’s distinction between risk and uncertainty, the concepts of Nash equilibrium and adverse selection (Akerlof), and behavioral economics applied to intertemporal decision-making, the essay demonstrates that agents acting rationally within their respective contexts collectively produce a persistent outcome of undercoverage. Underprotection stabilizes because no agent in the chain holds a dominant incentive to shift the equilibrium toward sufficiency. The essay concludes that isolated interventions are insufficient as long as the systemic architecture of incentives remains unchanged. It introduces the concept of collective defensive equilibrium as an analytical category to explain the structural persistence of the protection gap.</p>
title Lacuna de Proteção como Equilíbrio Estável : Como Mercados de Proteção Convergem para Estados de Subcobertura
topic protection gap; underprotection; life insurance; risk and uncertainty; knightian uncertainty; nash equilibrium; adverse selection; behavioral economics; intertemporal choice; decision-making; insurance economics; collective defensive equilibrium
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19075175