Predictive Risk Stratification for Preventable Diabetes Readmissions in U.S. Hospitals

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Main Author: Mohammed Mustafa khan
Format: Recurso digital
Language:English
Published: Zenodo 2026
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author Mohammed Mustafa khan
author_facet Mohammed Mustafa khan
contents <p><span><span><span dir="auto">This study presents a machine learning–based predictive framework for identifying patients at high risk of 30-day hospital readmission among individuals with diabetes. Using the UCI Diabetes dataset comprising over 101,000 hospital encounters, we developed and evaluated Random Forest and XGBoost models, achieving a recall of 76% at an optimized threshold. Feature importance and SHAP analysis identified key predictors including prior inpatient visits, medication burden, and length of stay. Building on these findings, we propose a CDC HI-5 aligned intervention incorporating risk stratification, care coordination, medication management, and a real-time clinical dashboard. The results demonstrate the feasibility of integrating predictive analytics into population health strategies to reduce preventable readmissions.</span></span></span></p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_19143920
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2026
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Predictive Risk Stratification for Preventable Diabetes Readmissions in U.S. Hospitals
Mohammed Mustafa khan
Diabetes
Machine Learning
Healthcare Analytics
Hospital Readmission
Population Health
<p><span><span><span dir="auto">This study presents a machine learning–based predictive framework for identifying patients at high risk of 30-day hospital readmission among individuals with diabetes. Using the UCI Diabetes dataset comprising over 101,000 hospital encounters, we developed and evaluated Random Forest and XGBoost models, achieving a recall of 76% at an optimized threshold. Feature importance and SHAP analysis identified key predictors including prior inpatient visits, medication burden, and length of stay. Building on these findings, we propose a CDC HI-5 aligned intervention incorporating risk stratification, care coordination, medication management, and a real-time clinical dashboard. The results demonstrate the feasibility of integrating predictive analytics into population health strategies to reduce preventable readmissions.</span></span></span></p>
title Predictive Risk Stratification for Preventable Diabetes Readmissions in U.S. Hospitals
topic Diabetes
Machine Learning
Healthcare Analytics
Hospital Readmission
Population Health
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19143920