An AHP-SWOT Analysis of Gwadar Port's Strategic Growth Potential Under the BRI and CPEC Frameworks

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Autori principali: Li Xiufei, Muhammad Sami Ullah
Natura: Recurso digital
Pubblicazione: Zenodo 2025
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author Li Xiufei
Muhammad Sami Ullah
author_facet Li Xiufei
Muhammad Sami Ullah
contents <p><em><span lang="EN-US">Gwadar Port, a key node of the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor and the Belt and Road Initiative, plays a critical role in regional economic cooperation and the global logistics network. This study develops an evaluation system with 16 indicators based on the SWOT framework, analyzing the port’s development environment across four dimensions: strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is applied to determine indicator weights, with all consistency ratios (CR < 0.10) confirming result reliability. The entropy method is also used for comparison to improve objectivity and robustness.</span></em></p> <p><em><span lang="EN-US">Results show that Gwadar Port’s development environment is dominated by weaknesses and threats, with combined weights of 0.3716 and 0.3715, respectively, far exceeding strengths (0.1630) and opportunities (0.0942). The top constraints are security risks in Balochistan (0.1905), regional geopolitical tensions (0.1856), and port competition pressure (0.1071). SWOT coordinate analysis (X = -0.2086, Y = -0.2773) places the port in the WT strategic zone.</span></em></p> <p><em><span lang="EN-US">Accordingly, the study proposes a multi-layered strategy centered on WT defensive measures, supported by WO and ST strategies, with SO strategies as long-term goals. These findings provide practical guidance for Gwadar Port’s stable development and offer strategic insights for other Belt and Road ports.</span></em></p>
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spellingShingle An AHP-SWOT Analysis of Gwadar Port's Strategic Growth Potential Under the BRI and CPEC Frameworks
Li Xiufei
Muhammad Sami Ullah
Gwadar Port; CPEC; SWOT-AHP analysis; China–Pakistan relations; Strategic infrastructure; Geopolitics; Port development; Institutional reform; Stakeholder perceptions; BRI
<p><em><span lang="EN-US">Gwadar Port, a key node of the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor and the Belt and Road Initiative, plays a critical role in regional economic cooperation and the global logistics network. This study develops an evaluation system with 16 indicators based on the SWOT framework, analyzing the port’s development environment across four dimensions: strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is applied to determine indicator weights, with all consistency ratios (CR < 0.10) confirming result reliability. The entropy method is also used for comparison to improve objectivity and robustness.</span></em></p> <p><em><span lang="EN-US">Results show that Gwadar Port’s development environment is dominated by weaknesses and threats, with combined weights of 0.3716 and 0.3715, respectively, far exceeding strengths (0.1630) and opportunities (0.0942). The top constraints are security risks in Balochistan (0.1905), regional geopolitical tensions (0.1856), and port competition pressure (0.1071). SWOT coordinate analysis (X = -0.2086, Y = -0.2773) places the port in the WT strategic zone.</span></em></p> <p><em><span lang="EN-US">Accordingly, the study proposes a multi-layered strategy centered on WT defensive measures, supported by WO and ST strategies, with SO strategies as long-term goals. These findings provide practical guidance for Gwadar Port’s stable development and offer strategic insights for other Belt and Road ports.</span></em></p>
title An AHP-SWOT Analysis of Gwadar Port's Strategic Growth Potential Under the BRI and CPEC Frameworks
topic Gwadar Port; CPEC; SWOT-AHP analysis; China–Pakistan relations; Strategic infrastructure; Geopolitics; Port development; Institutional reform; Stakeholder perceptions; BRI
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19294433