Civilizational Metamaterials: Engineering Coordination Under Capability Gradients and Structural Turbulence
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2026
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| _version_ | 1866901682252677120 |
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| author | Orban, David |
| author_facet | Orban, David |
| contents | We argue that governance must transition from a normative discipline to an engineering discipline, and develop a formal framework, inspired by the physics of metamaterials, to make this transition quantitative and testable. Artificial General Intelligence affects civilization primarily by increasing decision velocity while human verification capacity remains bounded. When the cost of validating AI-generated outputs exceeds the expected utility of acting on them, rational agents default to inaction: a stable but catastrophic Nash equilibrium we term the Freezing Equilibrium. We develop a phenomenological constitutive law for institutional coordination and predict a sharp phase transition between self-healing and self-destabilizing regimes. We introduce a three-class provenance taxonomy including context binding, and derive four falsifiable hypotheses with a proposed 12-week stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial. |
| format | Recurso digital |
| id | zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_19710482 |
| institution | Zenodo |
| language | |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| publisher | Zenodo |
| record_format | zenodo |
| spellingShingle | Civilizational Metamaterials: Engineering Coordination Under Capability Gradients and Structural Turbulence Orban, David AGI governance coordination theory institutional design decision provenance AI safety multi-agent systems We argue that governance must transition from a normative discipline to an engineering discipline, and develop a formal framework, inspired by the physics of metamaterials, to make this transition quantitative and testable. Artificial General Intelligence affects civilization primarily by increasing decision velocity while human verification capacity remains bounded. When the cost of validating AI-generated outputs exceeds the expected utility of acting on them, rational agents default to inaction: a stable but catastrophic Nash equilibrium we term the Freezing Equilibrium. We develop a phenomenological constitutive law for institutional coordination and predict a sharp phase transition between self-healing and self-destabilizing regimes. We introduce a three-class provenance taxonomy including context binding, and derive four falsifiable hypotheses with a proposed 12-week stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial. |
| title | Civilizational Metamaterials: Engineering Coordination Under Capability Gradients and Structural Turbulence |
| topic | AGI governance coordination theory institutional design decision provenance AI safety multi-agent systems |
| url | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19710482 |