The Guará Function Φ_M: Unifying Kp, Dst, Solar Flare Power and Pc5 Waves for Real-Time GIC Forecasting
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2026
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| _version_ | 1866901364872839168 |
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| author | Reyner, Pedro |
| author_facet | Reyner, Pedro |
| contents | <p>The Guará Function Φ_M is a novel empirical model that unifies geomagnetic indices (Kp, Dst), solar flare power, and Pc5 wave activity into a single predictive metric for Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs). Validated against the Quebec 1989 and May 2024 superstorms, Φ_M demonstrates superior correlation with GIC risk compared to traditional indices. This work provides a real-time, operationally viable framework for space weather forecasting to protect power grids and critical infrastructure.</p> |
| format | Recurso digital |
| id | zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_20057498 |
| institution | Zenodo |
| language | |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| publisher | Zenodo |
| record_format | zenodo |
| spellingShingle | The Guará Function Φ_M: Unifying Kp, Dst, Solar Flare Power and Pc5 Waves for Real-Time GIC Forecasting Reyner, Pedro <p>The Guará Function Φ_M is a novel empirical model that unifies geomagnetic indices (Kp, Dst), solar flare power, and Pc5 wave activity into a single predictive metric for Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs). Validated against the Quebec 1989 and May 2024 superstorms, Φ_M demonstrates superior correlation with GIC risk compared to traditional indices. This work provides a real-time, operationally viable framework for space weather forecasting to protect power grids and critical infrastructure.</p> |
| title | The Guará Function Φ_M: Unifying Kp, Dst, Solar Flare Power and Pc5 Waves for Real-Time GIC Forecasting |
| url | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20057498 |