The Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computer Will Arrive Before Your Migration Plan Does

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Autor principal: AB Support LLC
Formato: Recurso digital
Publicado: Zenodo 2026
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author AB Support LLC
author_facet AB Support LLC
contents A cross-methodology synthesis of the Q-Day timeline. Modal CRQC for ECDLP-256: ~2028.25 (90% CI 2027-2031), 28 months earlier than the 2030-2033 consensus. Hardware reallocation compression ~18 months, algorithmic compression ~9 months, classical cryptanalysis ~0 months (but PQC implementation side-channels narrow the post-Q-Day grace period). Falsifiability anchor: 116-bit secp256k1 ECDLP solved on quantum hardware by end-2027. Contact: alex@vibeagentmaking.com | Website: https://vibeagentmaking.com
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_20091410
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language
publishDate 2026
publisher Zenodo
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spellingShingle The Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computer Will Arrive Before Your Migration Plan Does
AB Support LLC
quantum computing
post-quantum cryptography
Q-Day
CRQC
ECDLP
quantum error correction
qLDPC
migration planning
A cross-methodology synthesis of the Q-Day timeline. Modal CRQC for ECDLP-256: ~2028.25 (90% CI 2027-2031), 28 months earlier than the 2030-2033 consensus. Hardware reallocation compression ~18 months, algorithmic compression ~9 months, classical cryptanalysis ~0 months (but PQC implementation side-channels narrow the post-Q-Day grace period). Falsifiability anchor: 116-bit secp256k1 ECDLP solved on quantum hardware by end-2027. Contact: alex@vibeagentmaking.com | Website: https://vibeagentmaking.com
title The Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computer Will Arrive Before Your Migration Plan Does
topic quantum computing
post-quantum cryptography
Q-Day
CRQC
ECDLP
quantum error correction
qLDPC
migration planning
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20091410