Eureka III —Araya2 V1.3 Blind Forecast Protocol for Orbital-State Validation Using HVS Milestones

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Main Author: Luis Pablo Araya Salazar
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Published: Zenodo 2026
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author Luis Pablo Araya Salazar
author_facet Luis Pablo Araya Salazar
contents <h2>EUREKA III - ARAYA2 V1.3</h2> <p><strong>Eureka III Araya2 V1.3</strong> presents a non-enabling blind forecast protocol designed to validate selected outputs of the proprietary <strong>Araya2 Multiscale Metric</strong>, developed by <strong>Luis Pablo Araya Salazar</strong>.</p> <p><strong>Eureka III Araya2 V1.3 </strong>builds on the public non-enabling Araya2 record established through AraY2 v1.0, the 96-hour post-event verification, Eureka Araya2 v1.1 and Eureka II Araya2 v1.2. It extends that trajectory into a sealed HVS blind forecast protocol astronomical state verification.</p> <p>This publication establishes a timestamped verification framework before the observational confirmation window of <strong>May 13–14, 2026</strong>. The document records a sealed validation structure based on <strong>HVS milestones</strong>: four critical physical-state checkpoints per astronomical block. This structure allows later comparison against NASA/JPL Horizons-derived ephemeris data while avoiding disclosure of the continuous vector time series, internal constants, and generative derivation of the Araya2 operator.</p> <p>The forecast framework covers three validation blocks:</p> <ul> <li>Europa–Jupiter vector-state validation</li> <li>NEO 2026 JD1 geocentric trajectory validation</li> <li>Moon–Saturn angular separation validation</li> </ul> <p>Each block is expressed through UTC/TDB timestamps, reference frames, selected physical-state variables, Horizons/JPL-derived inputs, sealed Araya2 outputs, and residual validation criteria.</p> <p>The sealed residual benchmark reported for the Araya2 residual-correction operator is:</p> <p><strong>EDMS_rel = 0.0345506917%</strong></p> <p>This value is below the internal Eureka III critical validation threshold:</p> <p><strong>EDMS_rel < 0.0598%</strong></p> <p>This record is <strong>not presented as a final post-event validation</strong>. It is a pre-registered forecast artifact intended for later comparison after the May 13–14, 2026 verification window.</p> <p>To protect the proprietary structure of Araya2, this publication discloses only four verification points per astronomical block:</p> <ol> <li>Window start</li> <li>Central event / closest-state condition</li> <li>Window exit</li> <li>Validation closure</li> </ol> <p>The full generative method, internal constants, continuous vector series, and proprietary derivation remain undisclosed. This publication functions as a priority record, validation framework, and non-enabling forecast artifact for subsequent independent comparison.</p> <p> </p>
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publishDate 2026
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spellingShingle Eureka III —Araya2 V1.3 Blind Forecast Protocol for Orbital-State Validation Using HVS Milestones
Luis Pablo Araya Salazar
Araya2; Multiscale Metric; Blind Forecast; Orbital Validation; Ephemeris; JPL Horizons; Europa; Jupiter; 2026 JD1; Moon-Saturn; Residual Correction; HVS Milestones; Non-Enabling Publication; Astronomical State Verification; Luis Pablo Araya Salazar
<h2>EUREKA III - ARAYA2 V1.3</h2> <p><strong>Eureka III Araya2 V1.3</strong> presents a non-enabling blind forecast protocol designed to validate selected outputs of the proprietary <strong>Araya2 Multiscale Metric</strong>, developed by <strong>Luis Pablo Araya Salazar</strong>.</p> <p><strong>Eureka III Araya2 V1.3 </strong>builds on the public non-enabling Araya2 record established through AraY2 v1.0, the 96-hour post-event verification, Eureka Araya2 v1.1 and Eureka II Araya2 v1.2. It extends that trajectory into a sealed HVS blind forecast protocol astronomical state verification.</p> <p>This publication establishes a timestamped verification framework before the observational confirmation window of <strong>May 13–14, 2026</strong>. The document records a sealed validation structure based on <strong>HVS milestones</strong>: four critical physical-state checkpoints per astronomical block. This structure allows later comparison against NASA/JPL Horizons-derived ephemeris data while avoiding disclosure of the continuous vector time series, internal constants, and generative derivation of the Araya2 operator.</p> <p>The forecast framework covers three validation blocks:</p> <ul> <li>Europa–Jupiter vector-state validation</li> <li>NEO 2026 JD1 geocentric trajectory validation</li> <li>Moon–Saturn angular separation validation</li> </ul> <p>Each block is expressed through UTC/TDB timestamps, reference frames, selected physical-state variables, Horizons/JPL-derived inputs, sealed Araya2 outputs, and residual validation criteria.</p> <p>The sealed residual benchmark reported for the Araya2 residual-correction operator is:</p> <p><strong>EDMS_rel = 0.0345506917%</strong></p> <p>This value is below the internal Eureka III critical validation threshold:</p> <p><strong>EDMS_rel < 0.0598%</strong></p> <p>This record is <strong>not presented as a final post-event validation</strong>. It is a pre-registered forecast artifact intended for later comparison after the May 13–14, 2026 verification window.</p> <p>To protect the proprietary structure of Araya2, this publication discloses only four verification points per astronomical block:</p> <ol> <li>Window start</li> <li>Central event / closest-state condition</li> <li>Window exit</li> <li>Validation closure</li> </ol> <p>The full generative method, internal constants, continuous vector series, and proprietary derivation remain undisclosed. This publication functions as a priority record, validation framework, and non-enabling forecast artifact for subsequent independent comparison.</p> <p> </p>
title Eureka III —Araya2 V1.3 Blind Forecast Protocol for Orbital-State Validation Using HVS Milestones
topic Araya2; Multiscale Metric; Blind Forecast; Orbital Validation; Ephemeris; JPL Horizons; Europa; Jupiter; 2026 JD1; Moon-Saturn; Residual Correction; HVS Milestones; Non-Enabling Publication; Astronomical State Verification; Luis Pablo Araya Salazar
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20129946