Demographic System Modeling in Vensim PLE, AnyLogic PLE, and Excel

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Main Author: Dreamland Incorporation IRD
Format: Recurso digital
Language:English
Published: Zenodo 2026
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_version_ 1866902322426150912
author Dreamland Incorporation IRD
author_facet Dreamland Incorporation IRD
contents <p>The demographic system model is widely used in system dynamics <br>textbooks as an introductory example, yet most sources present only a static diagram without exploring its dynamic behavior or sensitivity to parameter changes. This paper implements the model in three environments — Vensim PLE, AnyLogic PLE, and Excel — to verify its correctness and analyze how variations in birth and death rates affect long‑term population dynamics.  <br>The results show that the model exhibits strong sensitivity to the adult death rate, leading to sustained growth or decline depending on parameter values. The model serves as a foundation for more complex socio‑economic systems, such as those linking population dynamics with housing markets, credit availability, and labor conditions.</p>
format Recurso digital
id zenodo_https___doi_org_10_5281_zenodo_20425969
institution Zenodo
language eng
publishDate 2026
publisher Zenodo
record_format zenodo
spellingShingle Demographic System Modeling in Vensim PLE, AnyLogic PLE, and Excel
Dreamland Incorporation IRD
System Dynamics
Excel
Modeling
Stock and Flow
World Dynamics
Vensim
AnyLogic
Population model
<p>The demographic system model is widely used in system dynamics <br>textbooks as an introductory example, yet most sources present only a static diagram without exploring its dynamic behavior or sensitivity to parameter changes. This paper implements the model in three environments — Vensim PLE, AnyLogic PLE, and Excel — to verify its correctness and analyze how variations in birth and death rates affect long‑term population dynamics.  <br>The results show that the model exhibits strong sensitivity to the adult death rate, leading to sustained growth or decline depending on parameter values. The model serves as a foundation for more complex socio‑economic systems, such as those linking population dynamics with housing markets, credit availability, and labor conditions.</p>
title Demographic System Modeling in Vensim PLE, AnyLogic PLE, and Excel
topic System Dynamics
Excel
Modeling
Stock and Flow
World Dynamics
Vensim
AnyLogic
Population model
url https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20425969