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Autores principales: Tolksdorf, Leon, Birkner, Christian, Tejada, Arturo, van de Wouw, Nathan
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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Acceso en línea:https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.10765
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author Tolksdorf, Leon
Birkner, Christian
Tejada, Arturo
van de Wouw, Nathan
author_facet Tolksdorf, Leon
Birkner, Christian
Tejada, Arturo
van de Wouw, Nathan
contents Many state-of-the-art methods for safety assessment and motion planning for automated driving require estimation of the probability of collision (POC). To estimate the POC, a shape approximation of the colliding actors and probability density functions of the associated uncertain kinematic variables are required. Even with such information available, the derivation of the POC is in general, i.e., for any shape and density, only possible with Monte Carlo sampling (MCS). Random sampling of the POC, however, is challenging as computational resources are limited in real-world applications. We present expressions for the POC in the presence of Gaussian uncertainties, based on multi-circular shape approximations. In addition, we show that the proposed approach is computationally more efficient than MCS. Lastly, we provide a method for upper and lower bounding the estimation error for the POC induced by the used shape approximations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_10765
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Fast Collision Probability Estimation for Automated Driving using Multi-circular Shape Approximations
Tolksdorf, Leon
Birkner, Christian
Tejada, Arturo
van de Wouw, Nathan
Robotics
Probability
Many state-of-the-art methods for safety assessment and motion planning for automated driving require estimation of the probability of collision (POC). To estimate the POC, a shape approximation of the colliding actors and probability density functions of the associated uncertain kinematic variables are required. Even with such information available, the derivation of the POC is in general, i.e., for any shape and density, only possible with Monte Carlo sampling (MCS). Random sampling of the POC, however, is challenging as computational resources are limited in real-world applications. We present expressions for the POC in the presence of Gaussian uncertainties, based on multi-circular shape approximations. In addition, we show that the proposed approach is computationally more efficient than MCS. Lastly, we provide a method for upper and lower bounding the estimation error for the POC induced by the used shape approximations.
title Fast Collision Probability Estimation for Automated Driving using Multi-circular Shape Approximations
topic Robotics
Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.10765